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Rational Pastime | analysis within reason | rationalpastime.com Reviews
https://rationalpastime.com
at the nexus of stats, law, money and sport
rationalpastime.com
Rational Pastime: MLB Ratings (Beta)
http://www.rationalpastime.com/p/power-score.html
This is my best guess of each team's "true" record, or the record one would expect a team to post if it played an infinite number of games against a .500 team on a neutral field. Because the breadth of the distributions of its two components, Elo Win. Is an average of the two components weighted by the other component's standard distribution. This ensures that neither component "outweighs" the other solely due to the breadth of their distribution. Is seeded with preseason projections by FanGraphs. When c...
Rational Pastime: Rating Systems Challenge: National Championship Game Will Crown ESPN National Bracket or Lunardi RPI
http://www.rationalpastime.com/2015/04/rating-systems-challenge-national.html
Rating Systems Challenge: National Championship Game Will Crown ESPN National Bracket or Lunardi RPI. This post is part of a series tracking the successes and failures of various NCAA Men's Basketball ranking systems and bracket models throughout the 2015 NCAA Tournament. Check out the full series. Tune in tomorrow for the final results! Follow along between posts: check out the Rational Pastime Tournament Challenge Group. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Follow RPBlog on…. Beyond the Box Score.
Rational Pastime: Rating Systems Challenge: Chalky Day, Advantage Sagarin
http://www.rationalpastime.com/2015/03/rating-systems-challenge-chalky-day.html
Rating Systems Challenge: Chalky Day, Advantage Sagarin. This post is part of a series tracking the successes and failures of various NCAA Men's Basketball ranking systems and bracket models throughout the 2015 NCAA Tournament. Check out the full series. Yesterday was a day of reckoning for several of the systems in the 2015 Rating Systems Challenge. The ten that picked Arizona (2) to upset Wisconsin (1) were disappointed, and suffered heavily in the standings. Among all ESPN Tournament Challenge groups.
Rational Pastime: Playing Pepper: The 2015 Washington Nationals
http://www.rationalpastime.com/2015/04/playing-pepper-2015-washington-nationals.html
Playing Pepper: The 2015 Washington Nationals. Nationals Park • Photo Credit: Me. Baseball season is upon us! At 4:05 PM EDT the Washington Nationals will open their season at home against the New York Metropolitans. As I did last year. I contributed a few words about the Nationals' upcoming season for Daniel Shoptaw. At District Sports Page. Shares his thoughts as well. We cover the Nats' offseason, their strengths and weaknesses, expectations for Bryce Harper. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom).
Rational Pastime: MLB Projections (Beta)
http://www.rationalpastime.com/p/projections.html
My MLB season projections are based on my team RPScore ratings, which you can view here. After each update to the team ratings, I run a Monte Carlo simulation. Of the remainder of the regular season 50,000 times. Each game is simulated using a random number generator and the Log 5 method. Incorporating both team's ratings. And applying an adjustment for home field advantage (using Matt Swartz's numbers). A random point is picked along each team's rating's Gaussian distribution. In 95% of the simulations,...
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The Prince of Slides: Revisiting Umpire Discrimination: New Paper at JSE
http://princeofslides.blogspot.com/2013/05/umpire-discrimination-new-paper-at-jse.html
The Prince of Slides. Sports. Statistics. Economics. And a naive junior faculty member pretending to know more than nothing about something. Thursday, May 9, 2013. Revisiting Umpire Discrimination: New Paper at JSE. Two colleagues (Scott Tainsky and Jason Winfree) and I have a new paper just posted online at the Journal of Sports Economics. And makes up the most important contribution. In fact, this is why the paper was published in the prestigious journal American Economic Review. The link directly to t...
The Prince of Slides: Brawling Costs Teams Money
http://princeofslides.blogspot.com/2013/04/brawling-costs-teams-money.html
The Prince of Slides. Sports. Statistics. Economics. And a naive junior faculty member pretending to know more than nothing about something. Friday, April 12, 2013. Brawling Costs Teams Money. I honestly don't know where to begin with the stupidity involved in this:. Http:/ www.usatoday.com/story/sports/mlb/2013/04/12/quentin-charges-greinke-after-being-hit-by-pitch/2076525/. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Also Find Me At:. My UF Faculty Page. Analysis and Blog Links. Business of Sports Network.
The Prince of Slides: February 2013
http://princeofslides.blogspot.com/2013_02_01_archive.html
The Prince of Slides. Sports. Statistics. Economics. And a naive junior faculty member pretending to know more than nothing about something. Tuesday, February 12, 2013. Employment Bias Toward Athleticism. Something I have always suspected happening in labor markets does, in fact, seem to be happening: hiring managers tend to give a premium to those signalling athletic ability or sport participation. The paper, by Dan Olof-Rooth, looking at these results is linked below:. This is why I tend to always put ...
Dr. Jesse-Douglas Mathewson, Ph.D. | International Relations & Political Economy
http://www.mathewson-phd.com/index.html
About Dr. Mathewson. His doctoral thesis, entitled An Occupation with Democratization: A Marginal Value Approach to Understanding the Consolidation of Imposed Democratic Regimes, investigates the role that state behavior and international threat dynamics play in the democratization of occupied regimes. Chairing his dissertation committee were the esteemed Drs. Karol Soltan. Served as departmental committee members, while Dr. I.M. 'Mac' Destler. Public Policy) served as Dean's Representative.
How To Improve the User Experience – The Hardball Times
http://www.hardballtimes.com/how-to-improve-the-user-experience
Baseball. Insight. Daily. August 19, 2016. Doing It For Bartolo. You are here: Home. How To Improve the User Experience. January 12, 2015. Editor’s Note: This is the first in a 10-part series commemorating baseball’s new commissioner with advice for his tenure. To read more about this series, click here. While Dodger Dogs are great, the new commish could help improve stadium food league-wide. (via Sam Howzit). Of a baseball ticket was $27.93; the averages for the NBA, NHL, and NFL were respectively $...
SABR and SABER | Praiseball Bospectus
https://praiseball.wordpress.com/2010/12/10/sabr-and-saber
That doesn’t mean that I am going to change the same tone I have been using for 30 years. What the hell is the difference? If you guys can’t separate tone from substance, that is your problem not mine. Stop being such whiners about tone. MGL. Another Post About TUCK! I’m Important; I’m on Wikipedia →. December 10, 2010. In the his introduction to the 1980 Baseball Abstract, Bill James wrote. I don’t need to tell you how. Since then. Basketball analysts dubbed their field APBRmetrics as a tribute, for...
The Prince of Slides: May 2014
http://princeofslides.blogspot.com/2014_05_01_archive.html
The Prince of Slides. Sports. Statistics. Economics. And a naive junior faculty member pretending to know more than nothing about something. Monday, May 26, 2014. UF Competition Policy Workshop. Long time no post. I'm using this medium to announce the schedule for the University of Florida's Competition Policy Workshop on June 4. This is a university-wide workshop put on jointly by the Department of Economics and the School of Law. It should be fun, and I hope we will have a large and active audience!
baseballbloggersalliance.wordpress.com
BBBA Leadership | Baseball Bloggers Alliance
https://baseballbloggersalliance.wordpress.com/chapter-presidents
Skip to main content. Skip to primary sidebar. Skip to secondary sidebar. The BBBA is a growing collection of baseball bloggers with the general purpose of collaborating on projects or being a reference for each other – and especially in terms of promoting in social media like Twitter, Facebook and Podcasting. BBBA Members Video/Audio Shows Links. Contact Us 2 Join/Benefits Of A BBBA Membership. Members Of The BBBA. Chapter Presidents – Fantasy Baseball, General, History, Misc. As well as the Baseball Bl...
The Prince of Slides: October 2013
http://princeofslides.blogspot.com/2013_10_01_archive.html
The Prince of Slides. Sports. Statistics. Economics. And a naive junior faculty member pretending to know more than nothing about something. Tuesday, October 8, 2013. Nearly all of the data I used should be publicly accessible and you can modify the code for your own data formats. If you are dying to get a hold of the original data files, please send me an email or note in this post what you are looking for. I will see what I can do on a person by person basis. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Also Find Me At:.
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rational partner
Rational Partners - Hard Money Lending and Real Estate Investing
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The Rational Party | One rational voter's take on current American politics
One rational voter's take on current American politics. Skip to primary content. Skip to secondary content. States versus the Federal Government. December 10, 2012. As most of you know, I live in Colorado, and it’s been interesting to watch the state-level governments (Colorado and Washington) implement the new, voter-approved, legalized marijuana laws. Colorado has not yet passed that law into effect, so my focus has been on Washington. One of the funniest things. I’ve read so far? Thinking about states...
passionate rationality by dallas curow
Please join me at my new location, dallascurowblog.com. Posted by Dallas Curow. Boston is a lovely city! Last month, I went there alone, on my first solo business trip, and had a wonderful time. As I wrote while I was there. I needed and loved the alone time this trip afforded me. At the end of each day of the conference, and during lunch breaks, I skipped out of my hotel and explored the city. I've gotten into the habit of consulting Design Sponge city guides. I stopped for dinner at Neptune Oyster.
rationalpassion.livejournal.com
Rational Passion
Jan 17th, 2010. Cultural Elites and Climategate. The New York Review of Books. Is more likely to be right about such things than, say, Lou Dobbs or Senator John Thune, but I share in the general apprehensive fogginess about what's happening. Though I lack his Nobel Prize and PhD, if his columns are any indication,. Why not listen to the average American instead? I'm no Palin supporter, but her Krugman-worshiping opponents make her seem rational by comparison. The science is settled! Posted at 01:46 am.
Rational Pastime | analysis within reason
For Mets, Regress No Barrier to Progress. The New York Mets began the 2015 season figuratively on fire, winning 15 of their first 20 games. Despite their hot start, the RPScore model wasn't impressed. My model, which has been rather stable in its predictions for the Mets all season, expected them to regress heavily, and regress they did. Albeit, the Metropolitans haven't regressed entirely; Apu's fav-or-ite squadron. Is still outperforming its RPScore. Their theoretically superior talent level. The Minne...
Rational Pastimes
When to use a cloud hosting services and when dedicated servers? Is definitely a worth using package and a way to manage all you domain names. In a harmonious way. Domain name search. And domain name registration. Basic steps and can easily be done with some initial research and efforts. After domain registration. The next step is to find a suitable web hosting service. For a website hosting. Using a cloud hosting setup you can manage all your sites with the maximum level of satisfaction and ease. Cloud ...
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Future home of something quite cool. If you're the site owner. To launch this site. If you are a visitor. Please check back soon.
Coming Soon - Future home of something quite cool
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