principlesofforecasting.com
Evidence on Principles
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. This page provides summaries of the original research that led to the principles. Currently we have some of the papers. More will be added shortly. In addition, we post some papers that have contributed to principles. Please help us by sending papers â by yourselves or others â along with a thumbnail sketch that we would include to inform visitors as to which principles are affected and how. Papers with New Evidence on Principles. 617-624. - Full Text. Elain...
principlesofforecasting.com
Educators' Page
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Test your forecasting knowledge. 3rd of August 2010 Click here to test your knowledge of forecasting methods. Summary of Forecasting Principles. 2001) describes 139 principles, most of which are ignored by textbooks and software.(PDF, 137kb). Discussion of principles in textbooks. C ox and Loomis evaluated forecasting text. Descriptions of forecasting textbooks. On the Software page. Please contribute your syllabus. Maintained by Tom Yokum. Experiential exer...
principlesofforecasting.com
Forecasting Dictionary
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Type word or phrase. Underlined terms take you to other definitions in the dictionary. References are provided at the end of each definition where relevant. Complete List of Defined Terms. This dictionary defines terms as they are commonly used in forecasting. The aims, not always met, are to:. Provide an accurate and understandable definition of each term,. Describe the history of the term,. Demonstrate how the term is used in forecasting,.
principlesofforecasting.com
News
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Golden Rule of Forecasting App. New resource for public policy forecasting. New paper on forecasting the effectiveness of advertisements. PollyVote is back for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Occam's razor and forecasting climate. Forecasting climate in Paris: Ignoring the Golden Rule. International Symposium on Forecasting 2016 announcement. Simplicity and Golden Rule at Riverside Symposium. Methodology and Selection Trees revised. Page 1 of 14.
principlesofforecasting.com
Software
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Multi-round surveys of experts where anonymous feedback on the groups' responses and on reasoning is provided to the experts after each round. Delphi software user guide. In the form of PowerPoint slides with voiceover intrstructions originally developed to instruct participants in an experiment. To around 150 programs, some of which are free, and links to relatedt sites which evaluate software. Forecast Package for R. From Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose.
principlesofforecasting.com
FAQ
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Much has been learned in the past half century about producing useful forecasts. Those new to the area may be interested in answers to commonly asked questions. You can access the information quickly through either the Topics menu. Or the Key Words menu. Immediately below. Or you can go directly to the Answers to Frequently-Asked Questions. Forecasting, the field. What does the field of forecasting encompass? How does forecasting related to planning? How can...
principlesofforecasting.com
Text & Trade Books
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Text and Trade Books. Books Available Online in Full-Text. By J Scott Armstrong, 1985 - Full text in PDF format of the only comprehensive summary of research on forecasting prior to 1985, covering judgmental and quantitative methods; it has stood the test of time. Summary of reviews. The book is out of print but used copies and reviews are available at amazon.com. Forecasting: Principles and Practice. Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos (2013).
principlesofforecasting.com
Special Interest Groups
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts. ConflictForecasting.com and TerrorismForecasting.com). A resource for managers, practitioners, and researchers concerned with forecasting the decisions of parties in conflict. This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. This Special Interest Group is maintained by Wilpen L. Gorr. NN) look for patterns in the data, typically drawin...
principlesofforecasting.com
Forprin Home
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Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. This Website has been visited. Times since April 2001. Golden Rule of Forecasting App. Page of this site. New resource for public policy forecasting. New paper on forecasting the effectiveness of advertisements. PollyVote is back for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Occam's razor and forecasting climate. The political leaders and government officials who gathered in Paris have made agreements to implement disruptive and expensive policies on the basis of...